As the prestigious 2025 Masters Tournament tees off today at Augusta National, world-class golfer Scottie Scheffler has established himself as the overwhelming favorite to claim the coveted Green Jacket. According to the latest predictive models, Scheffler's win probability has increased to 16.0% from 14.9% earlier this week, creating significant separation from his closest competitors.
The elite field chasing Scheffler includes a formidable second tier of contenders featuring Rory McIlroy, Collin Morikawa, Jon Rahm, and Justin Thomas. While these players remain steady in their positioning, Rahm has seen a slight uptick in his chances due to favorable tee-time conditions and positive market movement.
Scheffler's dominant position isn't limited to outright victory predictions. The model gives him nearly a 60% probability of finishing in the top-10, reflecting his exceptional form. Morikawa and McIlroy trail closely behind in this category, while Rahm continues his upward trajectory following a quieter start to his season.
The morning betting markets largely align with analytics projections, with Scheffler and McIlroy leading the odds boards. However, both Morikawa and Rahm present potential value opportunities for bettors based on the discrepancy between their odds and modeled win probabilities. Statbet analysis suggests these odds disparities could represent significant betting value for golf enthusiasts looking for strategic wagers.
Today's featured groups include several fascinating pairings. Scheffler tees off at 10:15 AM ET alongside Justin Thomas and Jose Luis Ballester, while McIlroy begins his quest for the career Grand Slam at 1:12 PM ET with Ludvig Åberg and Akshay Bhatia. Other notable groupings include Morikawa, Joaquin Niemann, and Min Woo Lee at 9:47 AM ET, followed by Jon Rahm, Wyndham Clark, and Tommy Fleetwood at 1:34 PM ET.
While all indicators point toward Scheffler as the golfer to watch this weekend, Augusta National's legendary unpredictability leaves the door open for dramatic shifts as the tournament progresses. Should Scheffler falter, McIlroy, Morikawa, and Rahm appear best positioned to capitalize and make their own runs at golf immortality.
