Justin Thomas has established himself as the clear frontrunner at the 2025 RBC Heritage, posting an impressive 12-under-par performance through the first two rounds at Harbour Town Golf Links. Thomas, who claimed the first-round lead, has maintained his momentum heading into Moving Day on Saturday, April 19.
The leaderboard shows Russell Henley and Si Woo Kim sharing second place at 10-under, two strokes behind Thomas. Tommy Fleetwood and Andrew Novak follow closely at 9-under, while pre-tournament favorite Scottie Scheffler remains in contention at 8-under, tied for sixth with Mackenzie Hughes.
Despite his current position, Scheffler's win probability has decreased significantly from his pre-tournament status, dropping 15 percentage points according to statistical models. Meanwhile, Thomas has solidified his position as the betting favorite with a 31.4% win probability and +225 odds.
According to Statbet analytics, Henley represents particularly good value for bettors at this stage of the tournament, with his 14.6% win probability suggesting he should be priced around +580, yet available at +750 on some platforms.
The tightly packed leaderboard features several notable names within striking distance. Collin Morikawa heads a group at 7-under that includes Wyndham Clark, J.T. Poston, Brian Harman, and Maverick McNealy. With 36 holes remaining in this no-cut event, opportunities remain for players currently trailing to make significant moves up the standings.
Saturday's third round promises to be pivotal as players jockey for position ahead of Sunday's finale at the prestigious Harbour Town course. Thomas will look to maintain his advantage, while Henley and Kim will aim to close the gap and potentially overtake the leader.
