The New York Mets will host NL East rivals Philadelphia Phillies in a compelling Tuesday night matchup at Citi Field, with first pitch scheduled for 7:10 PM ET on April 22, 2025.
The pitching duel features Mets right-hander Griffin Canning (2-1, 3.43 ERA) squaring off against Phillies lefty Cristopher Sánchez, who enters with an impressive 2-0 record and 2.96 ERA.
Despite home-field advantage, the Mets aren't favored in this contest. Advanced predictive modeling gives Philadelphia a 55% probability of victory compared to New York's 45%, according to extensive simulation analysis.
"Our team has analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's Philadelphia-NY Mets game," explained Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade. "By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows the Phillies with a win probability of 55%, compared to 45% for the Mets."
For those interested in the run line, the same model gives the Mets (+1.5) a 59% chance of covering, suggesting a potentially close contest. The game's over/under has been set at 8 runs, with a slight lean toward the under at 51% probability.
According to Statbet analytical projections, this matchup represents one of the more evenly contested games on Tuesday's slate, with pitching performance likely being the deciding factor between these division rivals.
This NL East battle comes at a significant point in the early season, as both teams look to establish momentum in what promises to be a competitive division race. Baseball fans will want to tune in at 7:10 PM ET to see if the statistical predictions hold true or if the Mets can defend their home turf against the slightly-favored Phillies.
