The world of MLB prop betting takes center stage today with several compelling wagering opportunities for Wednesday, May 28, 2025. Advanced analytics and cutting-edge machine learning models have identified three particularly promising player prop bets featuring pitchers Jackson Jobe, Griffin Canning, and outfielder Sal Frelick.
Detroit's rising star Jackson Jobe appears vulnerable when facing the Giants in today's 1:10 PM ET matchup. Statistical models indicate a 68.0% probability that Jobe will surrender more than 1.5 earned runs, creating a betting opportunity at -175 odds with a 4.4% edge over the market price.
In Milwaukee, outfielder Sal Frelick presents another intriguing betting target when the Brewers host the Boston Red Sox. Frelick's chances of recording at least one hit stand at 65.8%, making the -175 price potentially valuable with a 2.2% edge according to predictive algorithms.
The New York Mets' Griffin Canning rounds out today's featured props, with models strongly suggesting he'll allow over 1.5 earned runs against the visiting White Sox. At -125 odds, this wager carries a substantial 9.7% edge with a 65.2% chance of hitting.
Statbet analysis reveals that pitching props like these have been particularly profitable this season, with the 'over' on earned runs hitting at a 63% rate for afternoon games in pitcher-neutral ballparks.
While these three propositions lead today's recommendations based on win probability, seasoned bettors understand that identifying market inefficiencies—not merely high probabilities—represents the path to long-term profitability. The most valuable opportunity today actually comes from the Athletics-Astros contest, where one prop presents a remarkable 14% edge at +135 odds.
As game times approach, these odds may shift in response to market activity, weather conditions, and late lineup changes. Baseball bettors should monitor these factors closely before finalizing their wagering decisions for Wednesday's slate of MLB action.
