As spring training opens its doors, the 2025 MLB Cy Young betting landscape reveals intriguing narratives in both leagues, with seasoned analysts pointing to overlooked contenders who might shake up the predictions.
Mariners' Gilbert: The Durability Factor
Seattle Mariners' Logan Gilbert emerges as a compelling dark horse in the American League race. The 27-year-old workhorse, priced at +1600, brings a remarkable track record of consistency to the table. His 2024 campaign saw him reach new heights with 208 2/3 innings pitched and 220 strikeouts, demonstrating the kind of reliability that Cy Young voters traditionally favor.
'Gilbert's progression over the last three seasons shows exactly what we look for in a Cy Young candidate - durability, improving numbers, and the ability to carry a rotation,' notes veteran MLB scout Mike Thompson.
Injury Concerns Shape the Market
The betting market's current structure reflects the shadow of injury risks looming over several favorites. Jacob deGrom's presence at shorter odds despite throwing only 197 1/3 innings over four seasons highlights the disconnect between potential and reliability.
NL Dark Horse: Strider's Redemption Story
In the National League, Spencer Strider at +3000 presents an opportunity for value hunters. Despite his abbreviated 2024 season, his potential return to Grapefruit League action signals a faster-than-expected recovery from UCL surgery.
'The internal brace procedure Strider underwent often allows for quicker returns than traditional Tommy John surgery,' explains Dr. James Anderson, sports medicine specialist.
Historical Context
Recent history supports the strategy of backing longer odds. The last two NL winners, Chris Sale (+3000) and Blake Snell (+3500), proved that preseason favorites don't always prevail. This pattern suggests value in looking beyond the top of the odds board.
Looking Ahead
As teams begin their spring preparations, the volatile nature of pitching performance and health will likely reshape these odds significantly. Smart money appears to be targeting durable performers with proven track records rather than chasing the allure of pure potential.
Editor: Vitalina Patskan
