The MLB season is in full swing, and as players settle into their routines, betting markets offer interesting opportunities for value. Let's examine three notable player props for Tuesday's action that deserve attention based on recent performance trends and matchups.
Baltimore's Gunnar Henderson presents an intriguing RBI opportunity at +220 odds. Despite a slow season start partly due to injury, the former AL Rookie of the Year has significantly improved at the plate. After batting just .138 through his first seven games, Henderson has elevated his average to .321 with a 1.081 OPS over his last seven appearances, including three doubles, a triple, and two homers.
Henderson's move to the second spot in the batting order has coincided with increased power production, making his RBI prop appealing against Washington's Mitchell Parker. While Parker boasts a 1.88 ERA, his expected ERA sits much higher at 3.91, suggesting regression may be coming. Henderson's solid track record against left-handed pitching (.829 OPS) further supports this play.
On the opposite end of the spectrum, Colorado's Ryan McMahon continues to struggle mightily at the plate. With a .203 batting average and .635 OPS, McMahon has been particularly cold lately, collecting just two hits while striking out 17 times across his last nine games. Statbet analysts have highlighted this slump as one of the most pronounced batting collapses in recent weeks.
McMahon faces an uphill battle against Kansas City's Kris Bubic, whose 1.88 ERA and 26.2% strikeout rate don't bode well for the slumping Rockies third baseman. Given McMahon's .182 average against lefties this season, the under 0.5 hits at +110 offers considerable value.
Finally, Tampa Bay's Yandy Diaz presents another opportunity despite his sluggish start. The former batting champion's numbers have improved lately, hitting .292 with an .867 OPS over his last 12 contests, including three home runs. His matchup against Arizona's Brandon Pfaadt looks favorable, as the D-Backs starter's expected ERA (5.28) and expected batting average against (.293) suggest his 3.04 ERA may be deceptively low.
With Pfaadt's decreased strikeout rate (19.4%) resulting in more contact opportunities, Diaz's over 1.5 total bases at +140 looks promising, especially considering he's exceeded this mark six times during his 12-game improvement stretch.
As baseball's daily slate continues, these three props stand out as potentially valuable plays based on recent performance indicators and matchup analysis.
