The fifth PGA Tour signature event of the 2025 season heads to Harbour Town this week, with Patrick Cantlay emerging as a prime contender despite world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler's favored status as defending champion.
Cantlay's impressive Harbour Town resume features five Top 5 finishes, establishing him as a course specialist. His recent form includes six consecutive tournaments with improved approach play, ranking fifth in this metric among the tournament field. Though his T36 finish at the Masters reflected challenges around the greens, the eight-time PGA Tour winner remains a compelling option at +2000.
Russell Henley presents another intriguing possibility at +2800. Despite missing the cut at Augusta—his first in over a year—the five-time PGA Tour winner ranked fifth in tee-to-green performance and third in approach shots during his second round 68. His back-to-back Top 20 finishes at Harbour Town reinforce his comfort on this layout.
Daniel Berger's recent resurgence makes him a solid Top 20 candidate. With six Top 25 finishes in his last seven events and consistent all-around statistics, Berger appears to have regained his form. His T3 at Harbour Town in 2020 demonstrates his capability on this course.
According to analysis from Statbet, tournament specialists like Cantlay often outperform their odds at venue-specific events like the RBC Heritage, where course familiarity can overcome recent form concerns.
Max Homa enters with renewed confidence after breaking a streak of five missed cuts with a T12 at the Masters. The six-time PGA Tour winner displayed particularly strong approach play and putting at Augusta, suggesting a potential return to form.
Sungjae Im presents an appealing first-round option after his T5 at the Masters. With four consecutive Top 25 finishes at Harbour Town, including T7 in 2023 and T12 last year, Im has consistently shot under 70 in this event, carding 69 or better in six of his last eight rounds at the venue.
The tournament's elite field features Scheffler as the clear favorite at +360, followed by Collin Morikawa (+1100), Xander Schauffele and Ludvig Aberg (both +1200), while Cantlay and Justin Thomas share +2000 odds. Corey Conners (+2200), Shane Lowry, and Russell Henley (both +2500) round out the top contenders as the PGA Tour's best prepare to tackle the distinctive challenges of Harbour Town.
