Jason Alexander will lead the charge for the "Houston Astros" as they host the "Colorado Rockies" at Daikin Park on Thursday afternoon. The right-hander brings a solid 4-1 record with a 4.59 ERA into the matchup scheduled for 2:10 PM ET.
"We've been preparing well for this series, and I'm looking forward to giving us a chance to win," Alexander might say heading into this important matchup.
Opposing Alexander will be Kyle Freeland, who has struggled mightily this season with a disappointing 3-13 record and 5.31 ERA for the Rockies. The stark contrast between the starters' performances this season tells part of the story.
According to advanced simulation models that have run this matchup 10,000 times, the Astros hold a significant edge with a 66% probability of victory. That's no surprise given the pitching differential and home-field advantage.
Interestingly, despite the Astros being favored to win, the Rockies have a slight 51% chance to cover the +1.5 run line. Meanwhile, the over/under sits at 9 runs with an even 50-50 split on which way it might fall.
The "Astros" will be looking to capitalize on Freeland's difficult season, while the "Rockies" hope their offense can get to Alexander early. Do the Rockies have enough firepower to overcome their pitching disadvantage? We'll find out Thursday afternoon at Daikin Park.
With Jason's winning record on the line and Freeland trying to turn around his season, this August matchup offers plenty of intrigue even as the 2025 season winds toward its conclusion.
