Boxing fans are eagerly anticipating this Saturday's Super Middleweight clash as Canelo Alvarez prepares to face undefeated IBF champion William Scull at The Venue Riyadh Season on May 3rd. The Saudi Arabian capital continues to cement its position as a premier boxing destination, with thousands expected to fill the arena for this high-profile matchup.
Alvarez (62-2-2, 39 KOs) enters the ring as an overwhelming favorite with odds at -3000, giving him a staggering 96.77% implied probability of victory. The 34-year-old Mexican star is looking to make a statement before his planned September bout against Terrance Crawford.
Scull, despite his perfect professional record (23-0, 9 KOs), finds himself as a significant underdog at +1360, largely due to his relatively limited experience against elite competition. The 32-year-old Cuban holds the IBF Super Middleweight title – the very belt Canelo relinquished in 2024.
According to boxing analysis from Statbet, Canelo's advantages in size, power, and ring generalship make him the clear favorite, though Scull's defensive prowess could pose interesting challenges.
The contrast in styles presents an intriguing matchup. Canelo has shown improved speed and combination punching at 168 pounds, while Scull has built his undefeated record through exceptional defense and evasiveness. For Scull to have any chance, he'll need to increase his offensive output while maintaining his defensive discipline – a difficult balance against a puncher of Canelo's caliber.
Oddsmakers suggest the fight is unlikely to go the distance, with the 'Fight Doesn't Go Distance' prop set at -215. Many boxing experts anticipate Canelo gradually breaking down Scull's defense for a stoppage victory in the later rounds, with particular value on Canelo winning between rounds 7-12.
Fans can watch the action live on DAZN pay-per-view for $59.99. The matchup represents a significant step up in competition for Scull, while Canelo looks to continue building momentum after dropping back to 168 pounds following his loss to Dmitry Bivol.
